NBA Finals - Denver At Miami: 3 Things To Look For In Game 3

Advantage winner.

That is the situation entering Game 3 of the NBA Finals as the Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat are tied 1-1 going into Wednesday's game in Miami (8:30 p.m., ABC).

Of the last 40 NBA Finals that were tied 1-1, the winner of Game 3 has gone on to win the title 32 times for a .800 winning percentage.

Here are three things to consider going into this swing game:

1. The Fourth Quarter Heat

Miami came back from an 83-75 deficit after three quarters Sunday night in Los Angeles to win 111-108. The Heat also fought back from an 84-63 deficit in Game 1 to make a decent game of it before falling, 104-93. Miami leads Denver, 66-45, over two fourth quarters so far and is outshooting the Nuggets 64 percent to 44 percent. The Nuggets need to remember not to let up or it could be behind in a series many thought it would sweep or win in five games.

2. Can Jimmy Butler And Nikola Jokic Return To Normal?

After averaging 28 points in the playoffs going into the NBA Finals, Miami's Jimmy Butler has scored just 13 and 21 points. Earlier in the playoffs, he was scoring in the 30s, 40s and 50s. He needs to go crazy again for the Heat. As far as Denver's Nikola Jokic, he managed an uncharacteristic four assists in the Nuggets' loss Sunday.

That was his lowest assist total of the playoffs. He came into Sunday's game averaging 10.5 assists in the postseason.

3. What Is Up With Denver's Michael Porter Jr.?

Miami's zone defense has worked effectively against the Nuggets, and particularly guard Michael Porter Jr. The small forward is 3 of 17 from 3-point range in the NBA Finals for 17 percent. But it may be more him than the defense. He was not much better in Denver's last two wins over the Lakers, hitting 7 of 20 from 3-point range for 35 percent. This after hitting 41 percent from beyond the arc in the regular season.

"I'm not going to keep missing that many 3s," MPJ said. OK, if you say so.

Gabe Vincent and Max Strug may have different ideas. They have been on Porter most of the time and have made him have to dribble, which he is not great at.

The Rest Of The Series

The NBA Finals resume Friday in Miami (8:30 p.m., ABC) for Game 4. Game 5 will be in Denver on Monday. Game 6, if necessary, will be on Thursday, June 15, in Miami. Both are scheduled for 8:30 p.m. tips on ABC.

Game 7 will be Sunday, June 18, in Denver (8 p.m., ABC).

Written by
Guilbeau joined OutKick as an SEC columnist in September of 2021 after covering LSU and the Saints for 17 years at USA TODAY Louisiana. He has been a national columnist/feature writer since the summer of 2022, covering college football, basketball and baseball with some NFL, NBA, MLB, TV and Movies and general assignment, including hot dog taste tests. A New Orleans native and Mizzou graduate, he has consistently won Associated Press Sports Editors (APSE) and Football Writers Association of America (FWAA) awards since covering Alabama and Auburn at the Mobile Press-Register (1993-98) and LSU and the Saints at the Baton Rouge Advocate (1998-2004). In 2021, Guilbeau won an FWAA 1st for a game feature, placed in APSE Beat Writing, Breaking News and Explanatory, and won Beat Writer of the Year from the Louisiana Sports Writers Association (LSWA). He won an FWAA columnist 1st in 2017 and was FWAA's top overall winner in 2016 with 1st in game story, 2nd in columns, and features honorable mention. Guilbeau completed a book in 2022 about LSU's five-time national champion coach - "Everything Matters In Baseball: The Skip Bertman Story" - that is available at www.acadianhouse.com, Amazon.com and Barnes & Noble outlets. He lives in Baton Rouge with his wife, the former Michelle Millhollon of Thibodaux who previously covered politics for the Baton Rouge Advocate and is a communications director.