NFL Week 6 Upset Alert: Browns & Titans Poised to Cash

Week 6 is already upon us in the NFL, and we have two live underdogs that not only give us solid value with the points but could also cash on the money line. Either way we’ll take it so let’s check out the mistakes the oddsmakers are making this week!

 

Chargers at Browns – Sunday, 1:00 PM ET

The oddsmakers initially reflected the Browns as high as 3-point underdogs but that number has drifted to as low as a pick’em in some of Sportsbooks Review’s best online sportsbooks. Nevertheless, we can still get Cleveland at +1 in most of the top-rated books which may not qualify this as a big upset but a dog is a dog and the Browns are ready to bite the Bolts.

The pass rush of the Chargers has been severely impacted with the lack of the menacing Joey Bosa down front and it has resulted in a defense that is in the bottom third in points allowed and passing yards allowed. Their run-stop unit has been effective, but that won’t stop Cleveland’s Baker Mayfield from targeting his able tight end David Njoku, a first-round pick from 2017 who is beginning to flash his true potential, and primary weapon Jarvis Landry. It should be noted that the Browns will most likely be without wideout Rashard Higgins (knee), but rookie Antonio Callaway has proven to be a deep threat this season.

The Chargers will face a much-improved pass rush from the Browns and one vastly superior to the Raiders whom they faced last week in their 26-10 victory. In addition, Cleveland’s fourth-overall pick in the 2018 draft, Denzel Ward, will shadow Philip Rivers’ top target Keenan Allen, which will make it even more vexing for the Chargers’ passing attack.

This all adds up to an outright Browns’ victory as they go from the outhouse to -- well not exactly the penthouse – but over .500 for the first time in a few years.

 

Ravens at Titans – Sunday, 4:25 PM ET

The public is betting the Ravens as evidenced by the line shift at some of SBR’s best online sportsbooks which has gone from a pick’em to as high as Baltimore -3. We’ll let Joe Q. Public lay it in on the boys from Baltimore because it only gives us more value with the Titans.

Tennessee has the most underrated defense in the league, and the public hasn’t quite caught on to that fact. Baltimore could only manage nine points in their 12-9 loss to the Browns last week and now they get the Titans in their grill this week. In addition, it looks like inside linebacker Wesley Woodyard may return after a shoulder injury in the Eagles game put him on the shelf last week. But as good as Tennessee’s defense has been, their offense has sputtered. It doesn’t help that left tackle Taylor Lewan’s status is uncertain after sustaining a foot injury last week against the Bills.

This is a test of two very good defenses against two suspect offenses, but the home-field advantage, as well as the field goal head start, tips the scales in Tennessee’s favor. The Titans will have to be careful about abandoning the running game early, making the passing attack far too predictable. In order to do that, the Titans defensive unit will have to hold Joe Flacco and the Ravens’ offense in check. We believe they can and will not only cover the number but win this one outright. Let’s also not forget that the Titans are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss.