Outkick Bets: Late-Week CFB Bets
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We are back in the saddle for some pre-Saturday college football discussion and a few more places to make some money. Thursday and Friday were kind enough to give us two and three games respectively. Here's a quick reminder: next week we get Tuesday night football back! Anyway, let's return to the immediate agenda: winning.
THURSDAY --> Coastal Carolina -19.5 @ Arkansas State (-110)
Coastal has become a fun story the last two seasons because they are a fun team. If you haven't watched their offense... change that Thursday night. It's kind of what you would want to do if you could buffet a gameplan a menu that samples from all the restaurants that are good. The only spread they didn't cover was their -13.5 one at Buffalo. Frankly, they had a chance in the last five minutes to score a TD that would have done us the honors, but I digress (maybe THEY COST ME MONEY!). Arkansas State has covered both spreads at home and two of the three spreads that were double-digits overall this season which would normally bode well for them in this pick, but Coastal is very complete team. Arkansas State's lone win was against Central Arkansas, an FCS squad. The Red Wolves are next to last in points allowed per game (45.6) and Coastal scores 48.2 points per game, second in the country. I can't put good money into bad teams against good teams. It's a big number but I'll count myself lucky it ain't bigger.
THURSDAY --> Houston -5.5 @ Tulane (-110)
This is a really fun matchup. I called Houston last week to win against Tulsa (on Twitter) and they manhandled the Golden Hurricane from minute one. What's worked so well, though, is their defense which is the surprising element of Dana Holgorsen's team. Check this out: the Cougars are 4th in total defense, 5th in passing defense, 19th in turnovers gained. Tulane has been a shell of what the Oklahoma game showed the nation. Outside of beating Morgan State, they were manhandled by Ole Miss, slowed to a crawl by UAB and gut-punched by East Carolina. Tulane isn't very good right now and Houston is starting to warm and has won both their games ATS on the road. LET'S COUG IT UP.
FRIDAY --> Temple +29 @ Cincinnati (-110)
Let's face it, Cincinnati had a rocket strapped to their butts after that Notre Dame game. They had two weeks to prepare for it and choked the life out of the clovered family and history could be awaiting them... in DECEMBER. This game, however, is ripe for a hangover and especially early. I suspect they will hammer Temple, eventually, and the final score will be handily in the Bearcats' favor, but Temple isn't a pushover. They've won two in a row and last week's was a big one over Memphis. This is Cincy's second biggest spread of the season and they didn't cover their highest (-36.5 vs. Murray State). Cincy is facing a tough short week against a solid opponent with UCF on the horizon. It's a tough spot to win a game by 30, so let's go Owls for a cover.
BONUS, THURSDAY --> Houston/Tulane over 59.5 (-110)
I want to return to the well for this one because the number is coming in our favor. The total opened at 62 and while that is a little strong to love with that Houston defense, we must remember that both of these teams are still Top 25 scoring offenses. The potential is there for fireworks to glow up the skies before we hit our spread. Combined, these two are 7-3 to the OVER this season and I LIKE THAT A LOT considering Tulane had a 66, 66.5 and a 77.5 that they flew past.