NCAAF Best Bets for Tuesday, December 28, 2021
College Football is winding down, which means we are approaching the Championship, but first, we have a bunch of bowl games to get through. Today we have a handful of games that we can make some cash on.
Air Force vs. Louisville
This matchup doesn’t have some of the same appeal that the bigger named schools do, but it still should be a competitive affair. The Air Force has one great strength – running the football. On the season, they have averaged 341 rushing yards on the season. Louisville has a hard time stopping the run, and they allow 157 yards to opposing offenses per game. I do question how the Cardinals will be able to keep up with the Air Force’s ground game. That isn’t to say that Louisville is a bad team or bad offensively. I think the teams probably put up some points on the board, but I feel like the number is fair – I’d only say I wouldn’t play the under. I’m instead taking the Air Force to win this game at -106 on the moneyline.
UCLA vs. North Carolina State
Another game that I think will be close is UCLA and North Carolina State. They both have been decent teams this year, but neither, to me, is really strong in many spots. I think that UCLA is a superior rushing team, but NC State probably has a bit of an edge in their passing game. Defensively, NC State should be able to slow down the rushing game of UCLA, but Dorian Thompson-Robinson, quarterback for UCLA, should be able to keep the offense balanced. I think that the defense of UCLA will have a hard time stopping NC State quarterback Devin Leary. My thought on this game is that you can’t play the side. The game is a toss up to me. I am taking the over on points as I think both defenses will have a difficult time stopping their opponents. Play over 60 at -115.
West Virginia at Minnesota
I’m going to tell you I’m taking the under on this one. It is a little dangerous at just 45 (-115), but I think both teams are going to have a tough time against two strong defenses. Both teams have been trending towards the over in their last five games. The main reason I see this being an under is that I think Minnesota wins the game. They are only allowing 18 points per game on average. They should score around 24 points and I think they likely hold West Virginia to two touchdowns. This already has me sweating a bit, but I think it is the only way I can play the game aside from the spread. I do think Minnesota covers this spread of -5. If you think West Virginia wins this game, I’d recommend that you don’t play the under.