Breaking A Self-Imposed Rule For This Bet

Rams vs. Jets, 1:00 ET

I try to stay within my own rules for sports betting. Some things are a bit more arbitrary than others, but you have to have some sort of guiding principals in order to keep yourself in check. There are stupid ones, such as don't ever bet on the Yankees on a Tuesday (not a real rule that I have, but just an example), and other rules that try to keep yourself from making the same mistake over and over - like don't bet on a team on a cross country trip in the NFL. However, I am going to throw that rule right out the window here as the Rams take on the Jets. 

The Rams are kind of like a cat, they seem to have nine lives each season. Last year they were bad before the bye week, and then rebounded to make the playoffs. This season was much of the same with the team being 1-4 in their first five games before their off week. Since then, the team is 7-2 with losses to the Dolphins and Eagles. I suppose the Eagles loss is understandable, but the Dophins one is a bit confusing as to how that happened. In any case, they've taken down the Vikings and Bills in that span, proving they can beat playoff teams. Last week, they faced the 49ers and beat them in one of the most boring games of the entire season. The teams ended up playing a field goal-only contest, winning the game 12-6. The Jets haven't been good this season, but they do have one of the best passing defenses in football, allowing the fifth fewest passing yards in the league. New York is near the middle in terms of rushing yards allowed and the Rams have been very willing to run the ball this season. 

Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

The Jets are arguably the most disappointing team in all of football. They are just 4-10 for the year, and get the coverage of a Super Bowl contender because they have Aaron Rodgers under center. The team has sucked in virtually all aspects of the game this year, with the exception of the previously mentioned passing defense. The team was on the verge of winning a game for a few weeks and finally got over the hump last week against the lowly Jaguars. Now they return home where they are just 2-4 for the year. The bright spot for the Jets is that last week looked like the first time that Rodgers and Davante Adams were back in sync. Adams hauled in 198 yards and two touchdowns last week. Even Garrett Wilson grabbed a touchdown and had 56 receiving yards. This was his first touchdown since October. Rodgers has been pretty good for the team, throwing for the 11th most yards, 7th most touchdowns, and only having eight interceptions. However there are a lot of times where their offense stalls out and looks bad. 

I mentioned in my article yesterday that the Ravens would be a good option to tease with another game and I suggested the Bengals, but the Rams might've be a better option. If you take a 6.5 teaser, you can get the Rams +3 and the Ravens would've been a pick'em. Can't change the past, but that is what I officially bet and shared on the Outkick Bets podcast. I'll back the Rams here as well at -3. I think they are the better team and still fighting for their playoff spot. 

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