Kamala Harris Would Benefit From 'New Coach Phenomenon' If She Replaces Biden | Bobby Burack

All signs point to President Joe Biden bowing out of the 2024 presidential election, perhaps as soon as this weekend. There will likely be an open convention with Vice President Kamala Harris, for several reasons, ultimately securing the Democrat nominee.

Harris is a notoriously unpopular politician. The party gifted her front-runner status during the 2020 primary, yet she had to step aside before the official start of the calendar year. Harris' support from the public was that minimal. She is only vice president because she was born black and female. Talk about privilege. 

However, there is reason to believe Harris would fare better in the general election than Joe Biden. Sports fans will understand. 

In sports, there is a "new coach phenomenon" in which players and fan bases usually rally behind a new coach no matter their long-term prospects. When a coach is fired in the NFL mid-season, teams frequently respond with a win the following week. Here is a look at that trend.

Essentially, new coaches benefit from not being the coach whom they replace. Likewise, Harris would benefit from simply not being Joe Biden. A low bar, no doubt.

Democrat titans are done with Biden, including Barack Obama, Chuck Schumer, and Nancy Pelosi. Over 72 percent of registered voters say the president should not run for re-election. 

At least initially, Harris would rejuvenate the base. She would likely increase voter turnout amid growing concerns within the party that previous Biden voters will stay home if he remains on the ticket.

Further, Harris would be a media darling like we haven't seen since Obama. 

Without Biden, the corporate press would go all-in on pushing Harris and running opposition to Trump. The media and party would heavily weaponize the race card, daring sheepish voters to prove they are not "racist" and "sexist" by voting for Kamala. There are a lot of sheepish voters in the U.S.

We anticipate Harris would also receive significant endorsements from celebrities, rappers, and athletes as part of a full-court press to depict her as the young, hip alternative to Donald Trump.

She'd move abortion to the center of the debate, which, unfortunately, remains a losing message for the GOP. Around 61% of voters disapprove of the Supreme Court decision to overturn Roe and give abortion rights back to the states.

WASHINGTON, DC - MAY 9: Las Vegas Aces' guard Chelsea Gray (L) presents a jersey to U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris during a ceremony to celebrate the WNBA Champion Las Vegas Aces in the East Room of the White House on May 9, 2024 in Washington, DC. The Las Vegas Aces defeated the New York Liberty 70-69 in Game 4 of the 2023 WNBA Finals on October 18, 2023 at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York. (Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

Now, new coaches eventually have to perform. The honeymoon period only lasts so long. Thus, the question begs: how long would Harris be the new shiny object? 

Through the election cycle? Through the first debate?

The latter scenario would be no bueno for Democrats. The next presidential debate is scheduled for September 10 on ABC News. While Harris wouldn't mumble and lose her train of thought, like her current boss, she has the cackle and the condescending persona. Both of which are, to use a term, cringe.

Trump would quickly jab Harris about the mess that is the southern border, in which she is supposed to be in charge. Harris wouldn't dare reference Stormy Daniels as a comeback, would she? After all, she received her start in politics as the side chick of married San Francisco Mayor Willie Brown.

Her resume as district attorney is shoddy and runs afoul of the Democrat's soft-on-crime mantra. Harris oversaw nearly 2,000 convictions for pot-related offenses as DA, despite saying in 2022 that "nobody should have to go to jail for smoking weed."

Trump would have quite a lot to work with running against Kamala.

Patrick Hatten is the executive producer of the "Will Cain Show" on Fox News. He predicts that Harris's initial momentum wouldn't last long.

"The base will have to rally behind her but those middle ground voters won’t," Hatten posted on X. "They’ll experience her like the base did in 2020 and be immediately put off. It’s time to go full court press on her Venn diagram speeches."

"She failed miserably with her own base when gifted front-runner status in 2020, and she didn't get better. She will poll better than Biden because she's not failing mentally, but she will be exposed fast."

We are mostly in agreement. Therefore, Trump should still enter November as the presidential frontrunner in the event he faces Kamala Harris. 

But even Super Bowl-winning coach Andy Reid would tell reporters that he'd rather face a diminished head coach who has lost the locker room than any newly appointed replacement.